Saturday, 3 May 2014

BLOOD, FIRE AND STEEL, 150 YEARS OF EUROPEAN HISTORY, POST WORLD WAR 1 EUROPE



POST WORLD WAR 1 EUROPE



The high casualty rate of World War 1 had left Europe bewildered. In four years of fighting over eight million men had died and over 21 million had been wounded. This was unprecedented. In the conflicts that had ensued in Europe over the whole of the 19th century up to the Balkan wars of 1912 – 1913, Europe had lost only about 4.5 million men on the battle field.

This staggering rate of loses had even affected the demographic balance with women outnumbering men in demographic counts all over Europe. This of course led to many women taking up jobs in areas of the economy hitherto reserved for men. The bye product was the granting of the right to vote to women in many parts of Europe beginning with Britain in 1920.

The women suffrage campaign now extended to the struggle for equal rights for women and the escalating debates over birth control and the woman’s right to have abortion. This shifting trend in society became the hallmark of European society in the post World War 1 era as technology, innovations and a shift in social behavior became a dominant trend.

The nationalistic aspirations that erupted as a result of the dissolution of the Empire of Germany, Austro – Hungary, Russia, Ottoman Turks also led to an explosion in the number of nation states in Europe that were seeking visibility and rights to self determination.

The rights of ethnic minorities, nationalities and races were vigorously campaigned- for and upheld. The issues in any case that arose in the November armistice of 1918 had to be dealt with in a larger and more complex treaty that was to ensue after the conflict.

A peace conference to thrash out the issues dealt with in the Armistice of November 1918 was called for in Paris and attended by the leaders of the major Allied nations, George Clemenceau of France, Lloyd George of Great Britain, Woodrow Wilson of the U.S.A and Orlando of Italy.

 The one year long conference was designed specifically to put in place a peace and conflict resolution mechanism that was designed to ensure that a conflict on the scale of the Great War as World War 1 was then known, never recurred again.

The Allied delegates embarked on the conference with a spirit of vengeance and a determination to punish Germany; and imposed terms that were both harsh and severe and ultimately difficult to fulfill or even supervise. Whereas the sanctions were specific, the mechanism for enforcement or even supervision was vague as each country was left to fulfill its obligations to the best of its interpretation and conscience.

The French were determined not only to recover Alsace – Lorraine but also to occupy the Saar and detach the Rhineland from Germany. The British were more interested in increasing Germany’s reparations payment and sought terms that were harsh and ultimately difficult to fulfill in the midst of Germany’s own political and economic turmoil.

 Economists like Maynard Keynes had strongly argued for a more accommodating term of reparations for Germany. In any case the treaty was signed on June 28th 1919. Germany’s Colonies were dismantled and taken over by the victorious Allies; heavy reparations were imposed on her army and fleet.  Parts of the Rhineland, Saar and other parts of the fatherland were put under occupation until the reparations were paid and the terms of the treaty fulfilled.

Woodrow Wilson’s fourteen peace points had dealt with issues such as rights to self determination, determination of the right of nations and minorities, freedom of the seas, trading, reduction of armaments and adjustment of colonial claims.

His proposition concerning the general assembly of nations transposed into the League of Nations which was meant to be a body to ensure peace and tranquility amongst the nations of the world by settling disputes and conflicts amongst the major and minor powers without a resort to armed conflict.

The failure of the US to ratify the treaty setting up the league meant that the same Europeans the league was meant to pacify were the same nation states left to enforce its sanctions and covenants. In the event it was obvious to see why the league failed.

 The European statesmen were anxious to curtail Germany’s position and influence and did not give much thought to the political path and direction, Germany might follow after the war in the wake of such a punitive peace deal.

The 1920s fortunately brought a brief season of flowering economically as Europe and the rest of the world including the U.S.A experienced a season of economic boom that helped to reduce tensions and make payments of reparations easier. The period also saw a boom in the stock exchange as trading in stocks and equities boomed. While the economic boom lasted, the terms of the treaty were somehow enforced and peace seemed to endure.

The futile efforts to give teeth to the decisions of the League of Nations at this time underscored the deficiencies associated with the setting up of the body. In this period also the international Court of Justice at The Hague was set up and the Geneva conventions regulating the conduct of war, prisoners and treatment of civilians were also established.

 The Washington naval conference of 1922 also sought to enforce a treaty of self restraint on the part of the major powers with regards to the building of capital ships.




 GERMANY AND THE ISSUE OF PAYMENT OF REPARATIONS



The challenges of maintaining domestic stability while responding to the demands of the Versailles treaty continued to prove a daunting task to the post- war German governments. The elections that followed the treaty seemed to favor the centre right parties that were in opposition to the treaty. The coalitions cabinets that resulted thereafter felt insecure in their bid to fulfill the treaty whilst placating domestic opposition to the treaty.

This put the government in the centre in Berlin in a weak position, unable to stamp its authority on the country particularly with relations to raising taxes and curbing inflations. This gave the industrial leaders the courage to defy government policies while actively crafting policy by stealth.

The leadership dithered over how to satisfy the electorate without violating the treaty. Some favored rapprochement with Bolshevik Russia in order to pressure the West to ease its demand on Germany for fear of communist inroads into Germany

While the reparation committee dithered over how much to demand from Germany as reparations and also how to share the proceeds amongst the Allies in 1920, a new formula was soon adopted with France taking 52 percent of the reparations while Britain got 22 percent.

After the treaty of Versailles, Great Britain faced further challenges on the home front in the form of Ireland’s agitation for independence. The agitation had been boldly suppressed while World War 1 went on, as Britain could not afford the distraction.

After the signing of the armistice in 1918, Lloyd George finally caved in to the pressure of the Irish Republican movement for independence. After much deliberation in the face of the threatened revolt in Dublin, a compromise was reached in 1921 that established Irish Free State as a British dominion in the South while predominantly protestatant, Northern Ireland remained in the United Kingdom.

The Sinn Fein nationalists however continued to agitate until in 1937, Eire (Ireland) achieved full independence while Northern Ireland (Ulster) remained British.

In (November 1921 – February 1922) US Secretary of State Charles Evans Hughes invited the Great Powers to Washington D.C to forge a new order for maritime power and Asian stability. Amongst other agreements including the decision to respect China’s sovereignty; a five-power treaty on naval armaments was put in place to forestall a naval arms race between the US, U.K, Japan, France and Italy. The treaty temporarily put a halt to the escalating naval arms race between the US, U.K, Japan and Italy.



Europe 1922 – 1929

Countries of Europe
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The period described above was a period of armistice between one season of war and another. It was obvious that the peace settlement of 1919 as comprehensive as it sought to be, did not deal comprehensively with all the issues that had arisen concerning defeated Germany and Russia and the Victorious Powers of Britain, France, Italy and the USA.

French insistence on Germany being weakened, coupled with the harsh reparations policy meant that the feuding parties were still seething with resentment. The US which had argued strongly for equality and self determination amongst nations, had failed to ratify the treaty leaving only Britain and France to enforce the treaty, the best they could.

There were so many loose ends arising from the treaty that were left and handled unsatisfactorily. For instance the dismembering of Germany and handing over of her territories alongside the forbidding of the Anchluss (Union) with Austria meant that a sizeable German minority were left to their fate in a number of countries like Poland, Czechoslovakia, France, Belgium etc.

 The issue of war guilt which was imposed on Germany, Austria and Hungary was one pill too, that the defeated nations found difficult to swallow; as well as the oppressive nature of the reparations payments. The territorial issues that touched on Germany and the newly created nations of Poland especially as it related to the corridor carved out of Germany in favor of Poland, i.e. Danzig was another bone of contention.

 With the over one million German residents trapped there, that proved to be another point of injustice that needed to be dealt with as far as the German people were concerned. The treaty of Versailles was one harsh treaty that was carefully crafted; yet nobody was ready to fully defend it.

 Even the French that had demanded many of the harsh provisions, ironically stood aloof when Hitler’s Nationalist Socialist party came to power and began to openly repudiate the terms of the peace treaty.

In the words of another “The great war failed to solve the German question especially as it related to her role and destiny in Europe’’. Though defeated and shackled by the Versailles treaty, Germany’s strategic position still remained strong because on all sides it was surrounded by weakened and dispirited nations.

 France and Russia had been drained and weakened by the war. Moreover the rest of the newly emerging European countries were hardly in a position to confront a resurgent Germany’’.

The post-war French leaders thought seriously over these issues. There was a momentary resort to an -intra European defense arrangement between France and Belgium in September 1920, a Franco-Polish alliance in February 1921 and a Franco – Czechoslovak entente in January 1924. The strivings of a need for European unity was pulsating, but who was to lead it?

Britain, feeling secure in her strength and the natural barrier of the English Channel, concentrated her energy on her empire and did not see any serious need to commit vigorously to Europe once the treaty had been signed. The strict enforcement of the treaty came to rest on a hesitant France which was all too concerned over its defense than in the provocation of a fresh war with Germany.

The security of France and the entire Europe came to depend on German disarmament and the Allied occupation of the Rhineland. French finances were strained by the cost of rebuilding the war- devastated region of the north, the army and the demands of the colonial holdings as well as the refusal of the French parliament to levy sizeable tax increases until either Germany had paid the reparations or France’s war debts had been forgiven.

As long as Germany was not forth coming in settling its debts, then France would continue to face serious budget deficits that threatened its currency. France also depended on Germany for the coal needed to revive iron and steel production while at the same time bracing up to face the stiff competition from German exports.

To compound matters, France’s war- time Allies, the US and Great Britain quickly distanced each other from the enforcement of the Versailles treaty. Britain meanwhile was facing a post- war economic slump that was due mainly to wartime losses particularly in ships and foreign markets. Unemployment in Britain in the post war years had climbed to 17% in 1921.

Wartime spending and neglect had accelerated the decline of the ageing British industrial plants and the economy generally. Unemployment figures in the 20s generally hovered above 10% and there was pressure on the British government to boost employment by reviving trade.

 British economist Maynard Keynes argued at this time that the recovery of Europe was tied to the recovery of the German economy which was the dominant economy in Europe, and yet the very fabric of the Versailles treaty seemed designed to ensure that Germany never got back on its feet economically as virtually every clause seemed designed to restrain Germany from reviving its natural economic capacity.

As a pragmatic measure Britain needed the reparation debts from Germany to balance her own war debts to the United States. However after the war, British Prime Minister Lloyd George came to support German recovery in the overall interest of trade. The entente with France became strained as early as 1920 over the issues of reparations, Turkey and the coal shortage of that year, from which Britain garnered major profits at the expense of France.





EUROPEAN ECONOMIC SLUMP



Economically, Europe had come out of World War 1 much weakened by the economic effect of the conflict particularly as it related to

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