Tuesday, 6 May 2014

BLOOD, FIRE AND STEEL ;150 Years of European History ; Europe in the inter war years


The staggering rate of loses in the war of 1918 had even affected the demographic balance with women outnumbering men in demographic counts all over Europe. This of course led to many women taking up jobs in areas of the economy hitherto reserved for men. The bye product was the granting of the right to vote to women in many parts of Europe beginning with Britain in 1920.

The women suffrage campaign now extended to the struggle for equal rights for women and the escalating debates over birth control and the woman’s right to have abortion. This shifting trend in society became the hallmark of European society in the post World War 1 era as technology, innovations and a shift in social behavior became a dominant trend.

The nationalistic aspirations that erupted as a result of the dissolution of the Empire of Germany, Austro – Hungary, Russia, Ottoman Turks also led to an explosion in the number of nation states in Europe that were seeking visibility and rights to self determination.

The rights of ethnic minorities, nationalities and races were vigorously campaigned- for and upheld. The issues in any case that arose in the November armistice of 1918 had to be dealt with in a larger and more complex treaty that was to ensue after the conflict.

A peace conference to thrash out the issues dealt with in the Armistice of November 1918 was called for in Paris and attended by the leaders of the major Allied nations, George Clemenceau of France, Lloyd George of Great Britain, Woodrow Wilson of the U.S.A and Orlando of Italy.

 The one year long conference was designed specifically to put in place a peace and conflict resolution mechanism that was designed to ensure that a conflict on the scale of the Great War as World War 1 was then known, never recurred again.

The Allied delegates embarked on the conference with a spirit of vengeance and a determination to punish Germany; and imposed terms that were both harsh and severe and ultimately difficult to fulfill or even supervise. Whereas the sanctions were specific, the mechanism for enforcement or even supervision was vague as each country was left to fulfill its obligations to the best of its interpretation and conscience.

The French were determined not only to recover Alsace – Lorraine but also to occupy the Saar and detach the Rhineland from Germany. The British were more interested in increasing Germany’s reparations payment and sought terms that were harsh and ultimately difficult to fulfill in the midst of Germany’s own political and economic turmoil.

 Economists like Maynard Keynes had strongly argued for a more accommodating term of reparations for Germany. In any case the treaty was signed on June 28th 1919. Germany’s Colonies were dismantled and taken over by the victorious Allies; heavy reparations were imposed on her army and fleet.  Parts of the Rhineland, Saar and other parts of the fatherland were put under occupation until the reparations were paid and the terms of the treaty fulfilled.

Woodrow Wilson’s fourteen peace points had dealt with issues such as rights to self determination, determination of the right of nations and minorities, freedom of the seas, trading, reduction of armaments and adjustment of colonial claims.

His proposition concerning the general assembly of nations transposed into the League of Nations which was meant to be a body to ensure peace and tranquility amongst the nations of the world by settling disputes and conflicts amongst the major and minor powers without a resort to armed conflict.

The failure of the US to ratify the treaty setting up the league meant that the same Europeans the league was meant to pacify were the same nation states left to enforce its sanctions and covenants. In the event it was obvious to see why the league failed.

 The European statesmen were anxious to curtail Germany’s position and influence and did not give much thought to the political path and direction, Germany might follow after the war in the wake of such a punitive peace deal.

The 1920s fortunately brought a brief season of flowering economically as Europe and the rest of the world including the U.S.A experienced a season of economic boom that helped to reduce tensions and make payments of reparations easier. The period also saw a boom in the stock exchange as trading in stocks and equities boomed. While the economic boom lasted, the terms of the treaty were somehow enforced and peace seemed to endure.

The futile efforts to give teeth to the decisions of the League of Nations at this time underscored the deficiencies associated with the setting up of the body. In this period also the international Court of Justice at The Hague was set up and the Geneva conventions regulating the conduct of war, prisoners and treatment of civilians were also established.

 The Washington naval conference of 1922 also sought to enforce a treaty of self restraint on the part of the major powers with regards to the building of capital ships.




 GERMANY AND THE ISSUE OF PAYMENT OF REPARATIONS



The challenges of maintaining domestic stability while responding to the demands of the Versailles treaty continued to prove a daunting task to the post- war German governments. The elections that followed the treaty seemed to favor the centre right parties that were in opposition to the treaty. The coalitions cabinets that resulted thereafter felt insecure in their bid to fulfill the treaty whilst placating domestic opposition to the treaty.

This put the government in the centre in Berlin in a weak position, unable to stamp its authority on the country particularly with relations to raising taxes and curbing inflations. This gave the industrial leaders the courage to defy government policies while actively crafting policy by stealth.

The leadership dithered over how to satisfy the electorate without violating the treaty. Some favored rapprochement with Bolshevik Russia in order to pressure the West to ease its demand on Germany for fear of communist inroads into Germany

While the reparation committee dithered over how much to demand from Germany as reparations and also how to share the proceeds amongst the Allies in 1920, a new formula was soon adopted with France taking 52 percent of the reparations while Britain got 22 percent.

After the treaty of Versailles, Great Britain faced further challenges on the home front in the form of Ireland’s agitation for independence. The agitation had been boldly suppressed while World War 1 went on, as Britain could not afford the distraction.

After the signing of the armistice in 1918, Lloyd George finally caved in to the pressure of the Irish Republican movement for independence. After much deliberation in the face of the threatened revolt in Dublin, a compromise was reached in 1921 that established Irish Free State as a British dominion in the South while predominantly protestatant, Northern Ireland remained in the United Kingdom.

The Sinn Fein nationalists however continued to agitate until in 1937, Eire (Ireland) achieved full independence while Northern Ireland (Ulster) remained British.

In (November 1921 – February 1922) US Secretary of State Charles Evans Hughes invited the Great Powers to Washington D.C to forge a new order for maritime power and Asian stability. Amongst other agreements including the decision to respect China’s sovereignty; a five-power treaty on naval armaments was put in place to forestall a naval arms race between the US, U.K, Japan, France and Italy. The treaty temporarily put a halt to the escalating naval arms race between the US, U.K, Japan and Italy.



Europe 1922

The period described above was a period of armistice between one season of war and another. It was obvious that the peace settlement of 1919 as comprehensive as it sought to be, did not deal comprehensively with all the issues that had arisen concerning defeated Germany and Russia and the Victorious Powers of Britain, France, Italy and the USA.

French insistence on Germany being weakened, coupled with the harsh reparations policy meant that the feuding parties were still seething with resentment. The US which had argued strongly for equality and self determination amongst nations, had failed to ratify the treaty leaving only Britain and France to enforce the treaty, the best they could.

There were so many loose ends arising from the treaty that were left and handled unsatisfactorily. For instance the dismembering of Germany and handing over of her territories alongside the forbidding of the Anchluss (Union) with Austria meant that a sizeable German minority were left to their fate in a number of countries like Poland, Czechoslovakia, France, Belgium etc.

 The issue of war guilt which was imposed on Germany, Austria and Hungary was one pill too, that the defeated nations found difficult to swallow; as well as the oppressive nature of the reparations payments. The territorial issues that touched on Germany and the newly created nations of Poland especially as it related to the corridor carved out of Germany in favor of Poland, i.e. Danzig was another bone of contention.

 With the over one million German residents trapped there, that proved to be another point of injustice that needed to be dealt with as far as the German people were concerned. The treaty of Versailles was one harsh treaty that was carefully crafted; yet nobody was ready to fully defend it.

 Even the French that had demanded many of the harsh provisions, ironically stood aloof when Hitler’s Nationalist Socialist party came to power and began to openly repudiate the terms of the peace treaty.

In the words of another “The great war failed to solve the German question especially as it related to her role and destiny in Europe’’. Though defeated and shackled by the Versailles treaty, Germany’s strategic position still remained strong because on all sides it was surrounded by weakened and dispirited nations.

 France and Russia had been drained and weakened by the war. Moreover the rest of the newly emerging European countries were hardly in a position to confront a resurgent Germany’’.

The post-war French leaders thought seriously over these issues. There was a momentary resort to an -intra European defense arrangement between France and Belgium in September 1920, a Franco-Polish alliance in February 1921 and a Franco – Czechoslovak entente in January 1924. The strivings of a need for European unity was pulsating, but who was to lead it?

Britain, feeling secure in her strength and the natural barrier of the English Channel, concentrated her energy on her empire and did not see any serious need to commit vigorously to Europe once the treaty had been signed. The strict enforcement of the treaty came to rest on a hesitant France which was all too concerned over its defense than in the provocation of a fresh war with Germany.

The security of France and the entire Europe came to depend on German disarmament and the Allied occupation of the Rhineland. French finances were strained by the cost of rebuilding the war- devastated region of the north, the army and the demands of the colonial holdings as well as the refusal of the French parliament to levy sizeable tax increases until either Germany had paid the reparations or France’s war debts had been forgiven.

As long as Germany was not forth coming in settling its debts, then France would continue to face serious budget deficits that threatened its currency. France also depended on Germany for the coal needed to revive iron and steel production while at the same time bracing up to face the stiff competition from German exports.

To compound matters, France’s war- time Allies, the US and Great Britain quickly distanced each other from the enforcement of the Versailles treaty. Britain meanwhile was facing a post- war economic slump that was due mainly to wartime losses particularly in ships and foreign markets. Unemployment in Britain in the post war years had climbed to 17% in 1921.

Wartime spending and neglect had accelerated the decline of the ageing British industrial plants and the economy generally. Unemployment figures in the 20s generally hovered above 10% and there was pressure on the British government to boost employment by reviving trade.

 British economist Maynard Keynes argued at this time that the recovery of Europe was tied to the recovery of the German economy which was the dominant economy in Europe, and yet the very fabric of the Versailles treaty seemed designed to ensure that Germany never got back on its feet economically as virtually every clause seemed designed to restrain Germany from reviving its natural economic capacity.

As a pragmatic measure Britain needed the reparation debts from Germany to balance her own war debts to the United States. However after the war, British Prime Minister Lloyd George came to support German recovery in the overall interest of trade. The entente with France became strained as early as 1920 over the issues of reparations, Turkey and the coal shortage of that year, from which Britain garnered major profits at the expense of France.





EUROPEAN ECONOMIC SLUMP



Economically, Europe had come out of World War 1 much weakened by the economic effect of the conflict particularly as it related to the credit purchases from the United States which as far back as 1914 had been the world’s leading economic power. By 1918, the US had invested more than 9billion dollars abroad compared with the 2.5 billion dollars before the war.

Britain and France alongside Italy in the course of the war had used most of their investments in the US and had consequently accumulated large public debts particularly to the US treasury. Europe was thus faced with the shadow of American financial domination alongside European indebtedness in the first decade following the war.

The Allies were also indebted to one another and to Britain too which in turn was indebted in the United States. To compound matters, Germany and Austria faced the penalty of reparation according to the Versailles treaty which they found very difficult to pay.

English Economist of that era Maynard Keynes had in his opposition to the principle of reparations payment described it as “morally detestable, politically foolish and economically nonsensical”. British Minister and First Lord of the sea, Sir Winston Churchill described it as “a sad story of complicated idiocy”.

The Allied policy of demanding goods and cash from Germany as reparations were bound to afflict industry as in the case of the former or lead to the acquisition of unrepayable loans as in the latter, particularly because Germany’s only recourse was to source large loans from the United States.

In April 1921, the Allied reparations committee set Germany’s reparations bill at 132 billion gold marks to be increased if the Germans proved able to pay. The first installment of one billion marks was due by the end of May 1921.

Germany wavered behind two extreme views, refusal to pay and paying with a view to establishing trust which would now form the basis for a revised and more lenient repayment policy as advocated by Walther Ratheneau the finance minister and Stresemann the foreign minister

The Weimar Republic chose the path of compromise by paying the first installment in August 1921 with a loan obtained in London. After that, several payments were made in kind until the beginning of 1923 when it couldn’t continue anymore, and thereafter the French promptly occupied the Ruhr industrial region with the support of Belgium, but with the opposition of the US and Britain.
Gustav Stresemann
German statesman Gustav Stresemann won the 1926 Nobel Peace Prize with his French counterpart, Aristide Briand. Stresemann was recognized for his work toward peace and his efforts to have Germany admitted to the League of Nations.
Corbis
Microsoft ® Encarta ® 2009. © 1993-2008 Microsoft Corporation. All rights reserved.

The occupation in any case proved fruitless as the Ruhr workers with the connivance of the German government brought production to a virtual halt and the German treasury printed a huge sum of paper money which turned out to be worthless and led to a near collapse of the German economy

By 1924 Germany was facing hyper inflation leaving the mark with no purchasing value, thereby enriching speculators and owners of real property while ruining the salaried workers and middle class. This trend of events opened the door for pessimism that gave way to the Nazi victory in years later at the polls. The Germans loss of faith in   their economic system only opened the way for extreme political doctrines to become acceptable.

The Allies therefore set up a committee of financial experts chaired by the American, Charles G. Dawes to find a lasting solution to the issue of reparations payment. The committee resolved to offer Germany a two – year moratorium on payments, grant Germany a fresh loan of 800 million marks, coupled with a new rate for reparation payment of 1 – 25 billion gold marks annually. This was continued for five years.

In 1929 a further committee chaired by Mr. Owen D. Young revised the Dawes plan by granting Germany a new loan of 1.2 billion marks and to spread reparations payments over the next 59 years. The plan was grudgingly accepted by the German people and parliament in a nationwide referendum, but in real terms, reparations payment ceased in 1932 when the effect of the great depression really hit hard and payment became impossible.

The rest of Europe also faced serious and severe debt issues that arose out of World War1; and while the United States was willing to write – off debts associated with reparations, it could not write off the commercial debts owed to it.

This trend of events opened the door for the pessimism that gave way to the Nazi victory in years later at the polls. The Germans loss of faith in their political and economic system only opened the way for extreme doctrines to become acceptable.

On the whole Europe prospered in the inter war years  as economic growth enabled most of the European countries to exceed their 1914 economic output levels as growth continued across all sectors of the economy. Growth however turned out faster in the United States where the 1920s saw such a period of rapid growth that speculative financial investments particularly in stocks and risky financial behaviors became the order of the day.

Borrowing to buy and postponing the day of payment became the order of the precarious prosperity people were investing in. A lot of the money involved was based on pure speculation as people borrowed to buy stocks and the declared values of the stock exceeded the actual value of the investment made. Life was easy and prosperity came in handily even though many people knew that the boom could go bust anytime.

This finally came to on “Black Tuesday” 24th October 1929 when the Wall Street stock market crashed as everybody seemed to want to disinvest in stocks all about the same time as investor’s confidence in the system had plummeted. It was an all – sellers market and few buyers.

With so many people willing to sell their stocks at any rate and few people willing to buy the overvalued stocks, the inevitable result was a crash that eventually sent the economy into a depression that took the wind out of the world economy.

Banks that had invested heavily in the overvalued stocks suddenly saw their balance sheets turn red as the stocks went up in smoke, and with their capital gone, most banks stopped lending and the effect spread to every part of the  US and eventually the world economy.

Many major banks went under and most mortgages failed as the number of people out of job spiraled. Unemployment reached unprecedented figures, almost affecting over a quarter of the entire workforce in the United States.

As the Depression hit harder in the US, the effect spread to Europe as loans were quickly recalled and foreign investments dried up. As the American institutions repatriated huge sums of money to shore up their own sagging economy many European banks were hit and many went under.
A Bundle of Marks
After World War I (1914-1918), inflation in Germany was so high that millions of marks were required to buy even the most basic item. As a result, German money frequently had more value as kindling than as legal tender. Shown here, a German woman prepares to light her stove with a bundle of paper currency.
Corbis
Microsoft ® Encarta ® 2009. © 1993-2008 Microsoft Corporation. All rights reserved.

Germany, Austria and Britain were the hardest hit and the great Kredistanstalt bank of Vienna collapsed in May 1931 and as depositors rushed to withdraw their savings, the Bank of England began to lose gold at the rate of 2.5 million pounds a day and this led to a catastrophic decline in production as figures fell 40 percent in Germany, 14 percent in Britain and 29 percent in France.

To compound matters the United States under President Hebert Hoover tried to mitigate the effect of the slump and had granted a moratorium on the payment of all government debts for one year on Jan 1931. When this expired in June 1932, the US Secretary of State Henry Stimson proposed another one year extension which the president refused.

The European Allies meanwhile had tied the canceling of Germany’s reparations payment to the willingness of the US to forego all wartime debts which the Americans promptly declined, citing a European conspiracy; and as everybody subsequently went their way, the situation was compounded.





CENTRAL EUROPE AND THE MIDDLE EAST, 1920 – 1930



With the expiration of the Habsburg Empire, the successor states of Austria, Hungary and Czechoslovakia came to be the main object of the peace conference’s deliberations. The first two, being the main stays of the Austro – Hungarian empire were dealt with as defeated powers.

Czechoslovakia and Yugoslavia together with Poland even though were given benevolent treatment by the victorious powers, were however not in themselves homogeneous entities; rather conflicting ethnic, racial, economic, military and political divisions left these states less than stable even with the victorious powers.

The state of Yugoslavia was only an amalgamation of Serbs, Croats and Slovenes, while Czechoslovakia was a melting pot made up of Czechs, Slovaks and Sudeten Germans. Poland on its own part comprised Ukrainians, Germans, Lithuanians and Yiddish speaking Jews. Romania greatly enlarged by the addition of Transylvania and Bessarabia, now included millions of Ukrainians, Hungarian Jews and other minorities.

The term balkanization of Europe was drawn largely from the many nationalities and ethnic divisions and rivalries that these new nations came to represent. Poland even though enjoying the sympathies of the United States and France remained agitated over the issues of an outlet to the sea through the Port city of Danzig which incidentally consisted of 1.5 million Kashribians and Germans.

Further north, the Baltic states of Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia won their independence from Russia and depended largely on Britain’s sea power to secure their freedom. However Poland and Lithuania were tangled in a quarrel over the control of Villinius a town which according to Russia’s 1877 census figures was 40 percent Jewish, 31% Polish, 24% Russian and 2% Lithuanian. In December 1919 the Supreme Allied council awarded the city to Lithuania.

Similarly the Czech–Polish dispute over the coal – rich Teschen district led to recognition of the occupation claims of both powers as they were presently standing. The German – Polish dispute over Upper Silesia also was resolved in favor of Poland which came to win over most of the mines to the disadvantage of Germany which had the greater ethnic nationalities population resident there.

 An Allied approved plebiscite in 1921 showed that ethnic Germans were more outside the coal mine district while the Poles were in the majority around the coal mines.

The treaty of st Germaine similarly disposed of the Austrian half of the former Hapsburg monarchy in favor of Czechoslovakia while the American President succeeded in getting the strategically important province of Bohemia granted to Czechoslovakia with the inherent problem of 3.5 million ethnic Sudeten Germans alongside the grant of territory stretching south to Bratislava on the Danube river but also creating a host minority of 1 million Magyars.

The settlement of Italy’s territorial claims on Austrian land became a heated issue as the Italians insisted on the Allies fulfilling their wartime promises which President Wilson regarded as immoral and unethical.
Before World War I began in 1914, the major European powers included Britain, France, Italy, and the empires of Germany, Russia, and Austria-Hungary. The Ottoman Empire also controlled territory in Europe.
 His denunciation of the Allies pact with Italy was made openly in a press conference in Paris on April 24, 1919 in violation of the ethics of the conference; only to return later to a compromise solution that included declaring the city of Fiume an open city to both Italy and Austria.

Meanwhile Italy was granted Trieste, parts of Istria and Dalmatia and the upper Adige as far as the Brenner pass with its 200,000 Germans speaking Austrians. The refusal of Wilson to concede Fiume to the Italians led to an imbroglio that led to the collapse of the Orlando government and the ultimate victory of Mussolini’s fascists in 1922 following Italy’s revolt over the Allies’ volte-face on the territorial claims issue.

As for Hungary, the treaty of Trianon which was delayed by the communist coup in Hungary until 1920 partitioned the ancient Hungarian kingdom among neighbors. Transylvania along with its 1.3 million.... minority was handed over to Romania; the Banat of Temesvar (Timisoara) was divided between Romania and Yugoslavia.

Hungary’s territories thus shrank from 109, 000 to 36,000 square miles, while the post war armies of Austria and Hungary were limited to 35,000 men each. The treaty of Neville with Bulgaria saw Bulgaria losing its western territories to the kingdom of Serbs, Croats and Slovenes and nearly all of Western Thrace to Greece cutting the Bulgarians off from the Aegean Sea.

Their armed forces were limited to 20,000 men for Austria, Bulgaria and Hungary even though the reparations payment was eventually called off for obvious reasons of economic weakness. The treaty settlement in East Europe was a fair attempt to implement the principles of self – determination in an area where the conditions were completely unfavorable to its policies.

 The issues of dissatisfied and dislocated minorities, inadequate finances, lack of an existing democratic culture, equipping of a functional government, army, police and institutions of government all combined to make these newly formed countries unstable and potential breeding grounds for dissent and crises in the midst of the suppressed nationalistic aspiration of a defeated Germany and a comatose Russia.

Austria with its population nearly all German was forbidden by the terms of the treaty from seeking union with Germany.




MIDDLE EAST AND EUROPE, 1920



The Ottoman Empire was likewise dismantled by the treaty of Sevres. The political aims of Great Britain and France were largely achieved, as president Woodrow Wilson felt less inclined to interfere on behalf of Arab aspiration as he felt that the Arab world was not yet ready for self rule. The British and French thereby legitimized their acquisition of Ottoman Turkish territories under League of Nations mandate.

The mandates were classed as ‘A’ for those territories ready for independence and class ‘B’ for those judged as not yet ready for independence. Britain thereby obtained Iraq, Transjordan and Palestine under class ‘A’ while France obtained Syria and Le

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