THE UNITED STATES AND RUSSIA THE ALPHA PAIR BEHIND THE PEACE OF 1945

THE UNITED STATES AND RUSSIA THE ALPHA PAIR BEHIND THE PEACE OF 1945

The great Allied military victory of 1945 that has kept the world in peace for close to seventy years now and had created the world order that we live in today albeit refashioned after the end of the Cold war in 1989 is a treasure that must be preserved  because the dynamics of the world we live in today and the revolutionary technological changes that have swept the world since 1945 have made it clear that the 21^st century world can no longer afford the expense of another global military conflict as being the basis of fashioning out another world order as recorded in 1918 and 1945.

All through the ages violent conflicts as wars have tended to be, have been the preferred option of men in dealing with situations that seriously need to be addressed especially where nations are concerned. Wars have always been the method of last resort diplomacy where peaceful change is deemed impossible. A notable Prussian General/ statesman of the 19^th century Carl Von Clausewitz wrote that ‘war is the continuation of politick (diplomacy) by other means’.

That was in an era in the 18^th and 19^th century when wars were glorified as being a necessary instrument of national and political transformation.

 Healthy nations were expected to embark on wars from time to time keep a healthy national and political frame and ethos. The 20^th century Dictators in both Germany and Italy saw wars as a revolutionary means of both national and political transformation that was deemed to be good for the health and well being of society in general and encouraged their citizenry to think in such terms.

 The Japanese leaders in the 1930’s and 40’s preached the same message in their societies and generally encouraged their populace to embrace war as a necessary evil for political and social transformation. All this was before the great defeats suffered by these nations in 1945. These same groups of nations have today become the most pacifist and peaceful nations in the world today and ironically some of the most prosperous.

The great victors of the enterprise called the Second world war the United States and Russia however have however come to a different set of conclusion on the need to maintain huge armies and a massive military/industrial complex for the sake of deterrence and basically to ensure that the world order created by the peace of 1945 is not threatened by either party or any other nation.

 While both nations have engaged in saber rattling grandstanding and bluster for the past seventy years it is surprising that the leaders and citizens of both nations have not seen any reason to enter into a formal alliance that disregards their different ideological and political posturing to ensure that the world order that the victorious powers of 1945 created is assiduously maintained.

I believe both nations have enjoyed the luxury of being pride masters for over seventy years without the hazard of any viable challenge to their dominance and hegemony over the world stage and that is why they have engaged in incessant bickering.

 However in the last decade a new power, China has arisen to challenge and if possible displace the Alpha pair of global hegemony and other powers are also rising including the erstwhile losers who are watching the unfolding scenario with great interest.

Instead of Russia and America coming together to seal a pact to protect their hegemony as is found in a genuine Alpha pair in the animal world of felines, the two nations are jostling with each other with a view to tripping one another to the great delight of the wanna- be ambitious rivals anxiously waiting on the sidelines to displace the aged pair of 20^th century pride masters and Alpha pair.

If only the US and Russia realise that the greatest beneficiary of their incessant quarrels will be China and other upcoming powers anxiously waiting in the wings to upstage them the sooner they will realise that they need to ignore and settle their differences and make up a strong alliance to confront the strong challenge that is brewing like a storm in front of them from the nations that are also hungry for global hegemony.

 A word they say is enough for the wise. I don’t think that either the US or Russia will relish life as a displaced pride master. Thanks

WHY THE PEACE OF 1945 MUST BE PRESERVED AT ALL COST !!!

WHY THE PEACE OF 1945 MUST BE PRESERVED AT ALL COST:

 A NEW SUPER POWERS ROUND TABLE SUMMIT IS URGENTLY NEEDED NOW!!

Next year will be exactly 70 years since WW2 came to an end bringing to a close the darkest chapter in the history of the human race. To say WW2 was cataclysmic,  would be a gross understatement, because in the known history of the world, the kind of bloodletting and violence that was unleashed on  the earth by that conflict has had no parallel ever since or thereafter.

When the Great War later known as WW1 came to an end on November 11, 1918 following the signing of the armistice by Germany the world thought it had seen the end of the most violent conflict ever to take place, considering that over ten million lives were lost and the conflict devastated much of Europe and the Middle East, parts of Africa and Asia.

 The devastation and loss of life was unparalleled in history and nobody thought such a conflict could be repeated again.

Modern man has however proven that he can not only repeat his actions, but he can out do himself in bestiality if given a chance.

That is the sad trait in man that has necessitated the need for statesmen and other world leaders to gather together urgently to address the need for the world powers to hold a major summit preferably in Geneva to see how the burning issues that are threatening the peace of 1945 must be urgently settled now before any unforeseen and untoward event shatters the fragile veneer of peace we are clinging to now. 

24 years after the Cold war ended more on a default basis rather than a negotiated settlement it is pretty obvious that the terms upon which world peace was secured and which we are still enjoying is being threatened because the settlement involving the status of the newly freed states of Eastern Europe were not clearly defined in written terms.

 The fact remains however that many of the world leaders of that era are still alive and can be held accountable for the agreements both written and unwritten that had defined the post Cold war era. Prominent among them are former US President George H Bush, former Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev,  former German Chancellor  Helmut Kohl , Prime Minister John Major, French President Francois Mitterrand etc.

Part of what is greatly needed to defuse the tension in Eastern Europe right now is an understanding regarding the consensus reached then by the major powers on how far NATO was permitted to go in its Eastward expansion program, which I believe is the main reason why tension is boiling in Europe right now and trying to unsettle the peace of the world.

I submit regrettably that NATO which was conceived in the 1950’s as a defensive alliance has over the years obviously on account of the economic decline of Russia in the years following the end of the Cold War been emboldened to see itself not only as the guardian angel of Western Europe which was its primary focus but now to include the safe guard of the independence of the newly freed former satellite states of the defunct Soviet Union.

That to me was stretching the mandate of NATO too far beyond its original horizon and now going all the way to wanting to safe guard the independence of the constituent states of the defunct Soviet Union against Russia the mother state of the Soviet Union.

 The scenario to me is akin to NATO trying to protect a lion cub from the mother lioness. How far can such an agenda be advanced peacefully before a violent conflict breaks out.

The height of diplomatic folly and madness to me who was already grown up and knowledgeable of the skillful diplomacy that ensued between Mikhail Gorbachev, George H Bush and Helmut Kohl over the status of Berlin, the unification of Germany and the dissolution of the Warsaw pact and the COMECON between 1989 and 1991, was this idea that NATO could conceive of a vision of protecting Ukraine from Russia!

There are just some crazy ideas you don’t develop on the world stage except you are looking for a very bloody confrontation and are bereft of any useful work to keep you busy which is what I am confident NATO is facing right now. I think NATO is very desperate for relevance at this point in time when its mission was gradually winding down by virtue of the sustained peace in Europe particularly in the post cold war years.

I dare say that if the Russians are pretty sure that NATO and the US in particular is no longer interested in meddling in the affairs of the former Soviet States, that the conflict in the Ukraine would wind up and completely diminish in relevance and status and die a natural death.

Vladimir Putin is not a fool neither is he Adolf Hitler as some would seek to portray him all in a bid to stoke a conflict whose only purpose to me is to threaten world peace. The man to me is the leader of a nation that has been wounded like a Lioness that would like to preserve its cubs and Pride’s pride.

 As long as the West feels it is within its purview to continue poking its NATO stick into Russia’s eyes and ribs I dare say that Europe will know neither peace nor rest. In Africa we have a saying that says a child that says its mother shall not sleep at night will first have to forfeit its own sleep first.

Anybody that has had time to read Putin’s auto biography aptly titled 'Putin’s progress' would understand why the Russian leader based on the travails of his past life has a wounded lion’s instinct to preserve itself. To go poking a stick at a wounded lion to me is not the best way to spend your time or your precious Dollars obtained with the sweat and hard work of the people of the West.

It seems to me that there are some unnamed and unseen forces working behind the scene that are desperate to plunge Europe into a major conflict in this NUCLEAR AGE in which the only outcome of a full blown confrontation would be the

 mutually assured destruction of the belligerents. Are the Europeans hungry for extinction or obliteration?

That Europe is on the decline as a center of global power which was the natural result of the two bloody conflicts of the 20^th century, and is also facing the population declined caused by a birth rate decline that is not self perpetuating, not enough peril for the European continent the birth place of the industrial revolution?

The scars of WW2 have yet to fully heal and we implore the war mongers working behind the scenes to spark a fresh conflagration to please give peace a chance so we can one day celebrate the centenary of the end of WW2 in a peaceful world.

To seek a conflagration at this time in Europe to me is the ultimate CRIME AGAINST HUMANITY as enshrined in the laws of war defined in the Nuremberg trials in 1945 at the end of WW2.

A second part of this theme will be out in due course, thanks for remaining engaged