After over a hundred and twenty years of being the nation referred to as God's own country , the dream land, the land of the brave and the free, the rainbow coalition, the land of limitless opportunity, the United States of America is facing an unparalleled identity crises as it heads into the 21st century and confronts the the reality that a bipolar world that in the early 21st century yielded way to a unipolar world is now giving way again to a multipolar world . There is nothing truer of the 21st century than the fact that constant change and willingness to adapt has become the reality of the hour and not just the day. It is a fact that a lot of Americans particularly the baby boomer generation are fighting hard to come to terms with the fact that the cultural and racial mix that had been the bedrock of US society for over a hundred years is now giving way to a coalition of a type not necessarily ascribed to the Rainbow that they have come to recognise.
America is confronting change in ways and dimensions that many are finding very hard to bear especially as it is affecting their political and economic well being. It is just natural and very human for folks to resist any form of change that touches on their wellbeing and diminishes their leverage in life and society. Urbanisation, globalisation and the world wide web and associated innovations have radically changed the face of the earth not just the United States. The information age and economic innovations of the last quarter century are simply saying to all to change or perish. For the poor and deprived, it comes as good news but for the rich and privileged for whom the prospect of change comes with the threat of a loss of privilege and benefits the prospect of change becomes daunting.
No group of people are feeling the scare more than the white privileged members of society for whom retaining the existing social order is a task that must be done. The fact is that the information age is creating a more egalitarian world where opportunities are opening up across a global spectrum to all who are willing and ready to participate. Information technology has reduced the world to a truly global village where skills and expertise are being freely traded just as easily as goods and services . Geography and boundaries are no longer able to insulate any society from the effects of globalisation. Donald Trump's dream wall may succeed in keeping out immigrant Mexicans but it will not succeed in keeping out cheaper and more competitive goods and services from streaming across the border and threatening American jobs.
Many times to regain competitiveness you have to remove the safety nets you have built around yourself that is denying you a capacity for honest self appraisal. If the generation of Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders' insurgent supporters have ever sat down to honestly ask themselves as to how best to permanently adapt to the reality of an ever changing world they will soon come to realise that enduring change will not come through a political revolution that is only designed to obscure your view of stark reality but one that honestly helps you to make the fundamental changes that will enable you to regain competitiveness once more on a global level. Americans must never forget that the US came out of a Great Depression in the 1930's that wiped out close to a quarter of GDP in a space of five years to a period of growth and expansion albeit in wartime that saw the US economic expansion occupy close to 50% of global output by 1950.
That is the kind of mindset that the nation needs to galvanise and not a destructive set of values that undermines the very basic principle of American economic prosperity which is rooted in innovation, hard work and capacity to adapt to change in whatever shape or form that it is required in order to keep productivity on an upbeat level. Finally it must be remembered that the global wind of change that is straddling even the United States is not going to wait for any nation or society that is not ready to make the compromises needed to gain the headwinds. The recurring decimals remains that change and compromise remains the mantra for growth and relevance today in this fast evolving world. A Roman senator once appealed to his colleagues in ancient Rome 'we have succeeded in changing the world can we not change ourselves' ?
Wednesday, 16 March 2016
Tuesday, 9 February 2016
Managing the unfolding tragedy in the Middle East , the unraveling of Syria
The ongoing conflict in Syria is a great tragedy involving the lives of millions of people being killed and rendered homeless and stateless because certain groups of nations have taken sides and are engaged in score settling while a human tragedy is unfolding on a monumental scale.
When the Arab spring started in 2010 and governments and ruling houses were collapsing in Tunisia, Egypt, Libya and eventually Yemen and Syria it was hailed by many as the dawn of a democratic transition sweeping through the Middle East by many Western governments and generally encouraged or tolerated even when legitimate governments and regimes were being undermined.
It took the descent of Libya into chaos for the global community to realise that every time a legitimate government is overthrown through violence it creates an opportunity for other elements albeit undesirable to fill the vacuum.
History has always shown and revealed that the violent overthrow of a legitimate government no matter how oppressive its policies may be has hardly ever led to the establishment of a just and humane society.
Violence always tends to breed violence and any form of reform rooted in violence will only spur another cycle of violence to alter it. Those who come to power by the sword always invariably fall by the sword. The Western democracies have always tended to look the other way when a repressive regime is being displaced by a violent uprising except when the regime in question is in their good books.
The universal fact still remains that government to be just and equitable ought to be borne out of a negotiated settlement and a out of a shared consensus. The idea of forcing a regime change at the barrel of a gun ought to be condemned and discountenanced by the civilized world no matter how abhorrent the regime in question maybe.
In Africa for instance none of the regimes that were borne out of a guerilla or bush insurrection has ever given birth to a stable and dependable democracy. Such governments have tended to imbibe the stay put mentality and are themselves always needed to be forced out of office. It was pretty obvious to the West that a regime as oppressive as that in place in Syria could only be 'forced' out but at what cost ?
Can the human tragedy unfolding in Syria justify the arming of guerilla groups to overthrow a legitimate government ? This is a question the great Powers must answer, if not the Syrian scenario can easily repeat itself again. All the major powers looked askance as Syria descended into chaos and only began to be concerned as the chaos translated into the greatest exodus and migration of men across boundaries since the end of WW2.
As Europe is now inundated with a refugee crises of unimaginable proportion, the evil of unsettling a legitimate government has begun to seep into the consciousness of policy makers worldwide.
The world must come to realise that governance is a serious business that must be addressed squarely and legitimately through consensus and dialogue and not by force or coercion if not the kind of tragedy we are seeing in the Middle East today will remain common place.
The notion of regime change that is being bandied in certain diplomatic circles in the West must give way to a notion of a legitimate democratic and constitutional transition no matter how painstaking the process may be.
Wednesday, 25 November 2015
PRESIDENT OBAMA PLEASE PROVIDE GLOBAL LEADERSHIP NOW !
PRESIDENT OBAMA PLEASE PROVIDE GLOBAL LEADERSHIP NOW!
The world we are living in today is beginning to be reminiscent of Europe in 1938 when Nazi Germany was clearly in ascendancy and British Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain and French Prime Minister Edouard Daladier were clearly fantasising the dream of 'peace in our time' which did not match with on-going reality. The same mind set was also replicated in Washington where Republican hawks made it clear to President Franklin Roosevelt that on-going events in Europe had no bearing with the destiny and fortune of the United States and that the United States did not owe the World an obligation to bring its weight to bear on the events unfolding in Europe.
The situation in Syria today is towing the same line with all the world powers committed to an ill-defined campaign to end the reign of terror unleashed globally by ISIS and its Jihadist partners like Al Qaeda, El Shabaab and Boko Haram. The campaign is ill-defined and bound to generate its own problems among the alliance partners or may i say accomplices because the United States the only power strong enough to set parameters and give leadership to the global war on terror is shirking its responsibilities fifteen years after declaring war on global terror and inviting the global community to join in the campaign against organised terror in the wake of the September 11, 2001 terrorits attack on New York and Washington.
I was not resident in the United States then, but the trauma of the events of that day is still clearly etched in my mind and cannot be erased in a lifetime. The surprising thing however is that fifteen years down the line in the campaign to eliminate global terror, we have an American leadership that is clearly tired and demotivated in providing global leadership in the sustained campaign to eliminate global terror. The offspring of that fading commitment is the rise of ISIS in Iraq and Syria. Nature we are told abhors a vacumn and the vacumn created by the premature and hasty withdrawal of American forces from Iraq clearly gave rise to the Islamic State
The Holy Scriptures tells us that whatever is WORTH DOING IS WORTH DOING WELL. President George W Bush may have deposed Sadam Hussein under questionable motives but the fact remained that the pacification of a post Sadam Hussein Iraq was America's responsibility no matter how expensive it may have turned out. I cannot conceive of any battle that you can win by shying away or running from the battlefield. It was American ground forces or what you may call 'boots on the ground' that deposed Sadam Hussein and it will take American ground forces whether we accept it or not to depose the Islamic State.
The emergence of the Islamic State was the bye product of the War in Iraq and ultimately on terror and its defeat in combat is a necessary pre-requisite to the logical conclusion of the war on terror as far as the Middle East is concerned. By 1944, the Second World War had become prohibitively expensive mostly to the UK and to some extent to the United States but both President Roosevelt and Prime Minister Winston Churchill did not shirk from committing another five billion dollars to the opening of a second front in Europe in the invasion of France on June 6, 1944. By 1944, there were no Republican or Democratic politicians that made any suggestions about the necessity of curbing spending or borrowing to get the war over with. The liberty bonds were joyfully advertised and cheerfully bought throughout the US because folks knew that this war had to be won.
One of the reason the West was resolutely commited to victory in WW2 was because leadership was in place that sold to the people the absolute necessity to defeat the twin evils of Nazism and Fascism.
Without that kind of resolution of spirit i dont see how any form of evil can be defeated on this Earth, The WAR ON TERROR cannot be fought with any less determination than the Second World War was fought if lasting results were to be obtained on the long-run. We have seen from the realm of medical science that a half-hearted treatment of any disease will only strenghten and harden the virus or germs, necessitating the production of even more expensive treatment or vaccines in dealing with a situation that could have been dealt a fatal blow if the necessary commitment was shown in the first inastance.
With the benefit of hindsight, we can see today that the United States was not really safe as long as the Nazis were running riot in Munich, Austria, Czechoslovakia and Poland in 1936-39 any more than the AVERAGE AMERICAN can think he is immune to events in Paris , Syria, Egypt or the Lake Chad Basin today. The chickens of the late 1930's ultimately came home to roost and the terrorist chickens we see playing havoc today will definitely come home to roost if we choose to bury our heads in the sands and play the Ostritch.
The world we are living in today is beginning to be reminiscent of Europe in 1938 when Nazi Germany was clearly in ascendancy and British Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain and French Prime Minister Edouard Daladier were clearly fantasising the dream of 'peace in our time' which did not match with on-going reality. The same mind set was also replicated in Washington where Republican hawks made it clear to President Franklin Roosevelt that on-going events in Europe had no bearing with the destiny and fortune of the United States and that the United States did not owe the World an obligation to bring its weight to bear on the events unfolding in Europe.
The situation in Syria today is towing the same line with all the world powers committed to an ill-defined campaign to end the reign of terror unleashed globally by ISIS and its Jihadist partners like Al Qaeda, El Shabaab and Boko Haram. The campaign is ill-defined and bound to generate its own problems among the alliance partners or may i say accomplices because the United States the only power strong enough to set parameters and give leadership to the global war on terror is shirking its responsibilities fifteen years after declaring war on global terror and inviting the global community to join in the campaign against organised terror in the wake of the September 11, 2001 terrorits attack on New York and Washington.
I was not resident in the United States then, but the trauma of the events of that day is still clearly etched in my mind and cannot be erased in a lifetime. The surprising thing however is that fifteen years down the line in the campaign to eliminate global terror, we have an American leadership that is clearly tired and demotivated in providing global leadership in the sustained campaign to eliminate global terror. The offspring of that fading commitment is the rise of ISIS in Iraq and Syria. Nature we are told abhors a vacumn and the vacumn created by the premature and hasty withdrawal of American forces from Iraq clearly gave rise to the Islamic State
The Holy Scriptures tells us that whatever is WORTH DOING IS WORTH DOING WELL. President George W Bush may have deposed Sadam Hussein under questionable motives but the fact remained that the pacification of a post Sadam Hussein Iraq was America's responsibility no matter how expensive it may have turned out. I cannot conceive of any battle that you can win by shying away or running from the battlefield. It was American ground forces or what you may call 'boots on the ground' that deposed Sadam Hussein and it will take American ground forces whether we accept it or not to depose the Islamic State.
The emergence of the Islamic State was the bye product of the War in Iraq and ultimately on terror and its defeat in combat is a necessary pre-requisite to the logical conclusion of the war on terror as far as the Middle East is concerned. By 1944, the Second World War had become prohibitively expensive mostly to the UK and to some extent to the United States but both President Roosevelt and Prime Minister Winston Churchill did not shirk from committing another five billion dollars to the opening of a second front in Europe in the invasion of France on June 6, 1944. By 1944, there were no Republican or Democratic politicians that made any suggestions about the necessity of curbing spending or borrowing to get the war over with. The liberty bonds were joyfully advertised and cheerfully bought throughout the US because folks knew that this war had to be won.
One of the reason the West was resolutely commited to victory in WW2 was because leadership was in place that sold to the people the absolute necessity to defeat the twin evils of Nazism and Fascism.
Without that kind of resolution of spirit i dont see how any form of evil can be defeated on this Earth, The WAR ON TERROR cannot be fought with any less determination than the Second World War was fought if lasting results were to be obtained on the long-run. We have seen from the realm of medical science that a half-hearted treatment of any disease will only strenghten and harden the virus or germs, necessitating the production of even more expensive treatment or vaccines in dealing with a situation that could have been dealt a fatal blow if the necessary commitment was shown in the first inastance.
With the benefit of hindsight, we can see today that the United States was not really safe as long as the Nazis were running riot in Munich, Austria, Czechoslovakia and Poland in 1936-39 any more than the AVERAGE AMERICAN can think he is immune to events in Paris , Syria, Egypt or the Lake Chad Basin today. The chickens of the late 1930's ultimately came home to roost and the terrorist chickens we see playing havoc today will definitely come home to roost if we choose to bury our heads in the sands and play the Ostritch.
Saturday, 2 May 2015
SOUND ECONOMIC MANAGEMENT AS AN IMPORTANT COMPONENT OF A PRUDENT DEFENSE POLICY.
SOUND
ECONOMIC MANAGEMENT AS AN IMPORTANT COMPONENT OF A PRUDENT DEFENSE POLICY.
The defense policy of a nation cannot
in practical terms be separated from the economic policies of the nation. There
is an intrinsic link between a healthy economic state in a nation and its
ability to defend itself on the long run both from internal and external
enemies. The soundness of one’s defense infrastructure cannot ultimately be separated
from the financial policies and health of the nation enunciating those
policies.
The 20th century revealed
in no small measure the link between the depth of your pocket and your ability
to win in any conflict particularly when it is protracted as modern conflicts
amongst major powers are tending to be. Using the two major conflicts of the 20th
century as a case study, it is obvious that the nations that had the capacity
to maintain a staying power in a protracted conflict tend to come out the
winners.
Chinese communist leader Mao Tse Tsung once enthused that ‘God is on the side of the bigger battalion’ in any conflict;
but the nations that were soundly defeated in both WW1 and WW2 started the wars
with the Bigger Battalion mentality and were roundly defeated by the nations
with deeper pockets and ultimately staying power. The goal and key is not the
quantity of the outlay to start with but
the power and ability to not only sustain your outlay no matter how small it
may appear to start with, but the ability to grow the outlay on an exponential basis as the
conflict becomes protracted.
If your ability to sustain and grow
your outlay on an exponential basis is compromised by your present posturing,
then defeat is around the corner in the long-run as the conflict becomes
protracted and ultimately is decided in the theater of attrition. Better a
small that becomes big on the long-run than a big that becomes small on the
long-run. No country enunciated this principle better
than the US in her outings in the two conflicts of the first half of the 20th
century.
None of the countries that engaged the US in the First and Second World
War would have welcomed the US as an adversary had they known the true strength
of America’s production capacity. Both Germany and Japan were first defeated
psychologically before their battle field defeats simply because they found
themselves tangoing with an adversary that seemed to have unlimited resources.
By 1944 it had become obvious to both
Germany and Japan in WW2 that they had made a wrong choice in picking
adversaries by betting against the United States of America. President Franklin
Roosevelt knew during the Depression years that America’s great security lay
not in the protection offered by the two great oceans but in the unlimited
capacity of the American nation and workman. When he announced in 1941 his
plans to build 100,000 aircraft for the US Army air force and 80,000 tanks for
the army, his adversaries thought he was bluffing. Well time showed he was not
bluffing.
President Roosevelt is my personal
role model for a leader who knew how to balance the security of a nation in
terms of the relationship between the bread basket and the arsenal. In the second
half of the 20th century, it seemed the Great Powers except for
Great Britain had learnt the lessons of the immediate past in the reverse. Both
the US and the Soviet Union went on an arsenal building spree that did not
necessarily accrue to great victories as observed in the Vietnam War for the US
and in Afghanistan for the Soviet Union.
All it succeeded in doing was to put
America into a cycle of indebtedness which seems to be on the upswing, and to
take the Soviet Union into the drain pipe. In this first half of the 21st
century, the same cycle is about to repeat itself as the bigger battalion
mentality has engulfed the Great Powers once more, resulting in the committing
of Billions of Dollars into Defense procurements that may never be used in
reality while the nation in reality is sinking into a deeper debt sinkhole that
ultimately limits your capacity and flexibility for exponential growth in
defense capability when you sincerely need it.
Great Britain, Germany and France are
the only major powers today that are pursuing a pragmatic policy in defense
spending and plans that wisely put butter before guns. Because common sense will tell you that if the
economic capacity of a nation is well harnessed its productive powers will be released
when truly needed.
Wednesday, 7 January 2015
THE PARADOX OF UKRAINE : DATELINE YALTA 1945, THE CHALLENGE TO AMERICA'S GLOBAL HEGEMONY
THE PARADOX OF UKRAINE: THE CHALLENGE
TO AMERICA’S GLOBAL HEGEMONY.
DATELINE: YALTA CONFERENCE, FEBRUARY 1945.
The battle for global hegemony among
the Great Powers which is really the bone of contention in Ukraine has a
throwback to events that went as far back as to the Yalta conference in the
closing days of World War 2. At Yalta the shape and face of the post- 1945 world
was basically determined by the political and military horse-trading that
ensued between President Franklin Roosevelt of the US, Joseph Stalin of the
USSR, and Winston Churchill, Prime Minister of Great Britain.
Although the Axis
partners in World War 2 did not expressly declare their war aims, it was pretty
obvious watching their political and military strategy that the destruction of
the pre- 1939 world order and the re-establishment of a new world order was
their primary war aim. The Axis powers Germany, Italy and Japan were obviously
determined to end the global primacy of Great Britain and France and re chart a
new world order.
Though the Axis partners emerged losers in the war, they
however succeeded in orchestrating events that led to the dethronement of Great
Britain and France from Global hegemony in 1945 and replacing them with the duo
of the United States and the USSR as the world’s two Super Powers that
dominated global politics for another half a century before the collapse of the
Soviet Union in 1991 and the emergence of the Russian Federation as the
successor state to a USSR legacy that was measured more in terms of liabilities than assets, except of course for
the nuclear stockpile which was then the world’s largest.
Perhaps both President Bush and Clinton were disarmed by the
post cold war friendly posture and disposition of Russian Federation’s
President Boris Yeltsin who in any case in the political chaos and economic
collapse of the aftermath of the Soviet Union and the chaotic end of the
ill-fated Common wealth of Independent States had little choice but to embrace
whatever support the West had to offer.
The interesting development was that the United States
insisted that independent Ukraine surrender its nuclear stockpile inherited
from the erstwhile Soviet Union to Russia as a pre-condition for guaranteeing
Ukraine’s Independence and friendship. That was a grave mistake by American
policy makers who did not take time to reflect on the fact that the USSR’s
claim to Super Power status rested mainly on that arsenal.
Had the US offered its
friendship and strengthened Ukraine’s power as a nuclear but friendly power,
the present crises would not only have been prevented but the world would have
been racing to a global nuclear arms disarmament program by now.
Russia’s greatest incentive for nuclear disarmament would
have been a passionate desire not to share a common border with a nuclear armed
Ukraine. The West in 1992 did not see Ukraine then in that light. In an
agreement that smacked of Czechoslovakia in 1938, also known as the Munich agreement,
independent Ukraine was compelled by the Great Powers to unilaterally hand over
its only buffer against future Russian aggression to Russia under Boris
Yeltsin.
American policy makers
of the post World War 2 era and even till date unfortunately have a tradition
of making policies that are basically designed to satisfy short term rather
than long term interests and many times to satisfy a domestic political
audience without considering the long term implication.
I believe it all started in Yalta in February 1945 when
President Franklin Roosevelt anxious to get the European phase of the war over with and confront
Japan resolutely began an appeasement policy towards the USSR that succeeded in
handing over Eastern Europe over to the Russian leader over and above the
objection of Winston Churchill who could clearly see even then the future
negative consequences of Roosevelt’s appeasement policies towards Stalin.
Yalta and ultimately
Potsdam conference concessions by the West sold to the Russians the idea that
Eastern Europe was their preserved sphere of influence where the ideas of
democracy and human rights were solely in the preserve of the Russian state to
define as it saw pleasing to its leaders.
The Russians bought onto the idea that while Western Europe
was the preserve of the United States and Great Britain, Eastern Europe
particularly the nations Russian forces
had helped to liberate in WW2 were going to be theater of Russian politics and domination
until somebody could abolish that world order. The price that President
Roosevelt was willing to pay to Stalin to get Soviet support in the defeat of
Japan in 1945 is the main reason why Eastern Europe is still feeling insecure
till date and the Korean conflict continues to fester.
It was pretty obvious that the United States did not
anticipate nor prepare for global leadership in 1945. The Russians were
obviously better prepared to benefit from the spoils of war and the victory of
1945.Churchill a politically shrewd man who could read Stalin’s intentions
better was overruled many times by his stronger American partner whose devotion
to the ending of British imperial rule globally, clouded his judgement
regarding Churchill’s anxieties.
Sadly as the Yalta conference came to an end it was pretty
obvious that Roosevelt had come to trust Stalin and his submissions more than
that of Churchill. America’s experience as a former colony of Great Britain did
not help matters when it came to assessing Great Britain in matters of national
independence and nations rights to freedom and choice in 1945, particularly with
Great Britain’s brutal suppression of India’s independence aspirations in the
years leading to WW2.
The only person who came out of Yalta with a smug smile on
his face was Stalin. Harry S Truman feeling a need to defend the legacy of his
great predecessor and benefactor was quick to uphold all concessions the
visibly ill Roosevelt made at Yalta during the Potsdam conference, where he was
more concerned with the defeat of Japan than the fate of Eastern Europe and its
people.
Russia therefore came
out of World War 2 feeling that Eastern Europe is its allotted backyard where it holds
sway and dominates issues. After over half a century of playing that role
unchallenged by any power it is going to take time for the Russian people to
come to see things differently and that is what the West must come to understand.
No matter amount of sanctions will make Russia give up its
position overnight. It will take time, a lot of dialogue and peaceful posturing
by the West to get Russia to accept the concept of a sincerely independent
Ukraine. The concessions that created the perception were made by the Western
leaders of 1945 and after over a half century of enjoying that impunity it will
surely take time for Russia to peacefully let go of its past ‘conquests’.
Trying to fastrack the
process through a regime of sanctions will not change Russia’s position any
faster than the League of Nations sanctions on Japan in 1931. All the League
succeeded in doing then was to fastrack its own demise as NATO also seems to be doing now. It
took time to get to where we are and it will take time to get to where we ought
to be.
Monday, 15 December 2014
WW2: BATTLE OF THE BULGE, 70 YEARS BEYOND AND LESSONS LEARNED AND STILL APPLICABLE TODAY.
December 16th 2014 marks
70 years since the German Ardennes offensive also known as the battle of the
Bulge was launched by Adolf Hitler the German Dictator in a last ditch effort
to stop the advancing Allied armies from overrunning Germany in the late autumn
and winter of 1944 as the Allies were hoping to bring the war in Europe to a
close in early 1945.
Beginning with the D-Day invasion
over six Allied Armies had landed on both the northwest and south coast of
France and had linked up and were pushing their way across France towards the Low
Countries and ultimately Germany.
The Allied landing on D-Day had been
the culmination of American policy upon its entry into the War based on a
meeting between US President Franklin D Roosevelt and British Prime Minister
Winston S Churchill as far back as on 9th August 1941 when they met on the Atlantic Ocean near
Newfoundland, Canada on the US Navy's heavy Cruiser The USS Augusta and
eventually issued the Atlantic Charter on the 14th of August 1941 which came to articulate the war aims of
the Western Allies and their view of a post war world.
The two leaders had agreed among
other things that should the US enter the war, Europe was to receive priority
attention in terms of manpower and material resources in prosecuting the war.
It became known as the Europe- first policy and it was to guide American policy
makers in the planning and prosecution of WW2. The policy was the brain child
of Roosevelt who differed to the request of Winston Churchill on the need to
come to the rescue of the United Kingdom which was bearing the brunt of the
European war as it then was before the Pacific war erupted on December 7, 1941.
President Roosevelt with the firm
support of General George C Marshall then Army Chief of Staff therefore set
about ensuring that the defeat of Germany was going to be the chief
pre-occupation of the American military, while offering enough resources for a
containment of Japan in the Pacific front until the fighting in Europe was
brought to a successful end. In the aftermath by late 1944 more than ninety
percent of the American army was committed to France where over six armies had
been deployed to the frontlines by November 1944.
Amongst the Armies on the field was
the US First Army whose heroics had been detailed in my earlier writing on the
“US First Army the forgotten heroes of WW2’’ under the command of Lieutenant
General Omar N Bradley who later passed on Command to Lieutenant General
Courtney C Hodges, when he was promoted to the command of the US Twelfth Army
Group comprising the First and Third Army under the command of Lieutenant
General George S Patton. Thereafter the US Ninth Army was also activated under
Lieutenant General William H Simpson.
After the commencement of the Allied landing
on the south coast of France in the Marseilles region in August 1944 the US Seventh
Army under the command of Lieutenant General Alexander Patch also became
operational and all these armies had by November 1944 been deployed along a
front in western Europe stretching from Belgium and Luxembourg to the south
coast of France bordering Switzerland as the Allies pressed towards Germany on
a broad front. The US Seventh and French First Army were to become part of the
6th Army Group under the command of General Jacob L Devers
On the British side, Field Marshal Bernard
Montgomery commanded the British 21st Army Group comprising the
British Second Army under General Miles Dempsey and the Canadian First Army
under the command of General Henry Crerar which was deployed along the
Belgian-Dutch borders to a point linking with the US Ninth Army in Luxembourg
which eventually together with the US First Army came under the command of
Field Marshall Bernard Montgomery in the heat of the battle.
Following the Allied landing in
Normandy and the advance inland into France, it had become clear to all
observers that the American Army and resources were becoming predominant in the
field in Western Europe. Out of the seven armies on the field including the
newly activated French First Army, four were American by November 1944 and even
then the only French army was fully equipped and supplied with American
materials. Following Operation Cobra and the breakout from St Lo into Brittany
and the activation of George Patton’s Third Army, the Americans had become the
dominant players on the field in Europe employing a bravado spirit on the
battlefield that baffled the German Army.
Patton’s awesome armored strikes and
breakthroughs led to the belief among the German Generals that the Americans
had become the more dangerous foe and desperately needed to be stopped in a
massive counter offensive employing the strategy of Blitzkrieg that had served
the Germans so well in their earlier campaigns in the war. Hitler reasoned that
he could break the American fighting spirit if subjected to a full blown German
Blitzkrieg attack led by the awesome Tiger and Panther tanks.
By early December 1944 as the Allied
armies had become bogged down by supply problems and the fatigue caused by a
long and whirlwind advance of over 500 miles from the Seine River to
Luxembourg, Belgium and in some places the German border. They had paused to
regroup and rest in the cold and deep winter of 1944 which made motorIsed
warfare difficult. As the Allied advance ground to a halt, Hitler felt he now
had a good opportunity to launch his much vaunted counter offensive.
For this, he had amassed three armies totaling
over 24 Divisions, six hundred thousand men in all and over 1500 tanks and tank
destroyers aimed at the line held by the US First Army in its weakest sector
where tired and fresh troops were being refitted in the hilly Ardennes forest
between Monschau (southwest of Aachen) and Echternach (northwest of Trier).
The German 5th Army under
the experienced Russian front veteran General Hasso Manteuffel was to launch a
drive on the Meuse River at Namur cross it and head to Brussels, while SS Sepp
Dietrich’s 6th Panzer army was to lead an armored drive to the
important supply city of Antwerp with a view to splitting the British-Canadian
21st Army Group from the American First Army and subsequently crush
them. He believed that at the end of the operation, the defeated Allies would
be willing to accept a negotiated settlement of the war.
It was an ambitious plan that was
meant to be accomplished within the four days of 16th -20th
of December 1944 when complete weather overcast was predicted to preclude the
Allies from employing their vast air power. With eight armored divisions in the
lead the Germans achieved a penetration of the Allied lines 65 miles deep and
some units of the 6th Panzer Army came within sight of the Meuse
River before the offensive ran out of steam as the skies opened up on Christmas
eve and Allied fighters began to interdict the German lines and destroy the
supply convoys.
The Germans ran into resistance
stiffer than expected from the GI’s who gave a good account of the American
fighting spirit as they denied the Germans vital gains by mounting road blocks,
destroying bridges, fuel dumps and everything that could be of significant help
to the Germans.
The American resistance was particularly
crucial at Bastogne and St Vith where the American 101st and 82nd
Airborne Divisions respectively held the two vital junction towns that forced
the German armor and supply convoys to the use of secondary roads that
considerably slowed and hampered the advance.
By Christmas day in 1944 when the
clouds fully cleared and Allied air power was in full swing, General Patton’s
Third Army had sent in a relief column that had relieved the beleaguered city
of Bastogne which never fell into German hands even though encircled for close
to a week.
By the middle of January the battle
had shifted in favor of the Allies who had immediately launched a counter
attack that threw the Germans into a full blown retreat back into Germany where
the Allies subsequently began the great pursuit that led to the end of the war
in May 1945.
The Battle of the Bulge was Nazi
Germany’s last great offensive in WW2 and it resulted in the squandering of
Germany’s last military reserves that was needed to stave off the Soviet
Union’s great offensive launched on the 12th of January 1945 in
Poland that brought the Soviet armies to the door steps of Berlin.
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